Transcript
WEBVTT
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Hello everybody, welcome to the FarSense Show, episode 150.
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Wow, the time flies by so fast.
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I've just recorded the episode 100 and it seems to be a year ago already.
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As you hear this broadcast, I'm somewhere in the world enjoying my hot end vacations.
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But as they say, the show must go on.
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So here we are with this hopefully lovely episode, and I've invited the guest with whom it all started, with Professor Guillermo Reyn from the Imperial College London.
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I've let Guillermo pick the topic for this episode and he chose to speak about wind turbine fires.
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A very interesting topic, perhaps an overlooked problem in the world of engineering, perhaps not a big deal, certainly something we have a problem with deciding if it is a problem or not, because the industry is not really helpful, as in engineering fire safety of those devices.
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It's kind of an interesting problem of how to prevent the fires, how to mitigate the consequences of the fires.
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What can you do inside the wind turbine?
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Because you can imagine they are pretty remote and not very well accessible.
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So in case of a wind turbine, if there's a big fire growing inside, there's not very much things you can do.
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So well, fire safety engineers know their craft.
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They can create fire safety solutions for devices like this, but they have to be allowed to do that and, in some way, the industry is not really looking for that help, and that gives this episode, this discussion, an interesting twist.
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So, yeah, I think it's going to be a very interesting episode for you all.
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So please let me invite you, together with Guillermo Reyn for this episode on wind turbine fires.
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Welcome to the Firesize Show.
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My name is Wojciech Wigrzyński and I will be your host.
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This podcast is brought to you in collaboration with OFR Consultants.
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Ofr is the UK's leading fire risk consultancy.
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Its globally established team has developed a reputation for preeminent fire engineering expertise, with colleagues working across the world to help protect people, property and environment.
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Established in the UK in 2016 as a startup business of two highly experienced fire engineering consultants, the business has grown phenomenally in just seven years, with offices across the country in seven locations, from Edinburgh to Bath, and now employing more than a hundred professionals.
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Colleagues are on a mission to continually explore the challenges that fire creates for clients and society, applying the best research experience and diligence for effective, tailored fire safety solutions.
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In 2024, ofr will grow its team once more and is always keen to hear from industry professionals who would like to collaborate on fire safety futures this year, get in touch at ofrconsultantscom.
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Hello everybody, welcome to the FireSense Show.
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I'm here today with Professor Guillermo Reyn of the Imperial College London.
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Hello Guillermo, welcome back to the podcast.
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Hello Bojie, Good to be back.
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Thanks for inviting me again.
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You have a lot of patience.
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Well, and you have this free ticket thing that you can just redeem whenever you feel like it.
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So just send me an email and we'll do another one.
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Anyway, for this episode, you have chosen a very interesting subject to talk, and that is the fires of wind turbines and, in general, wind turbine fire safety.
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I guess we can place this within the broader scope of renewables, sustainability and fire, a gap that needs to be closed, and when I was researching, I found your paper from Edinburgh Times, published in the IFSS 2014.
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So we're at the 10th anniversary of your paper.
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Has much changed since then?
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The topic, no, has not changed for bad reasons, but the fascination has not changed either.
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It is a very interesting topic.
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It's a new hazard I'm a mechanical engineer.
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I'm's a new hazard having wind turbines.
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I'm a mechanical engineer, I'm obviously fascinated by wind turbines, All turbines, yeah, and it's for wind, which is important for you, Bocce, and it provides energy and is renewable and is literally you cannot get better.
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But I'm a forest scientist, I'm an engineer.
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So at some point when we were in Edinburgh, we got in the news this fascinating unfortunately fascinating images of a wind turbine on fire.
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You know, it's fascinating, in particular because the smoke becomes a tracer.
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You can actually visualize the flow of the wind turbine in the wake.
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So we wonder is this one-off or this happens with more frequency?
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So we got two students, two master's students, for the IMFSE At that time I was in Edinburgh so I could supervise them and we got two of them and we got together with Ricky Carville and David Lang and the team.
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The five of us did the study.
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What we found is that we were the first ones, as scientists, to look into the problem.
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We found that the data existed a little bit.
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What we found is that we were the first ones, as scientists, to look into the problem.
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We found that the data existed a little bit.
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We found that there was some knowledge of why these fires were happening.
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We saw knowledge of the frequency of them and, obviously, as engineers, we immediately identified the ways to address them.
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And that was when the students graduated and they went to work for industry.
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And then we polished the paper.
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So you said you were looking into the problem based on a single off incident that triggered I think I know which video you refer to because it was quite viral.
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Perhaps many of them were viral with this beautiful circles of smoke leaving the burning turbine leaving the burning turbine.
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And obviously since then I think I've also been, at least I've been noticing, you know, those fires in the media and they seem to happen every now and then.
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Do we have an estimate of how big problem is that overall?
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Like, how often do those fires happen in the industry?
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Yeah, so I'll tell you, I'll answer that question, which is the single most important question in the topic.
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I'll answer it in three parts.
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The first part is I think, in spending some time into this, that these fires are rare and they are not the end of the world and it is not the end of the wind turbine industry.
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Okay, that's the first answer.
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The second answer is when we look into the data we do see about, for example, when we did our team did the analysis we saw about one every 10,000 turbines, one fire every 10,000 turbines, which is literally you can just neglect it.
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When other people have done the studies, they have found one every 2,000 wind turbines.
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That starts to become a little bit too close to comfort.
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When other people have done the studies, they have found one every 2,000 wind turbines.
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That starts to become a little bit too close to comfort.
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One in 2,000, take into account.
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One turbine is about $2.5 million US dollars and every year that they are operating they produce half a million US dollars operations.
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So when you lose a turbine you lose your initial investment, but you also lose a lot of money every year that this turbine is not producing anymore.
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So having one fire every 2,000 turbines is uncomfortable, but we didn't see one every 2,000.
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We saw one every 10,000.
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And that number is much more easy to manage.
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And the third part is I should not be answering this question.
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Part is, I should not be answering this question.
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Borgio, we should not be answering this question.
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We are in this role today.
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We are scientists.
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It should be the industry who is answering this question.
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And when we asked industry, they told me, yes, we have the data and no, we are not going to tell you.
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And then I thought, okay, as a scientist, that's intriguing why they don't want to tell me.
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But at the same time, they want to tell me don't worry, guillermo, go to sleep, you don't have to worry, it's not a problem.
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But no, we're not going to show you the data.
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It's like I'm a scientist.
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My arguments for me run based on numbers and knowledge and hypotheses and testing.
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You cannot tell me that's okay, guillermo, go somewhere else, no problem here, nothing to see here.
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That only makes me really wonder what is the number now?
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And I guess at some point, Boje, someone from the industry, from the one-to-one industry, is going to be listening to this podcast.
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So I have a message for them Release the data.
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Find someone that independently will look into your data and will be able to answer this question.
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When you told me this could perhaps be an interesting topic to talk, first I was kind of like, is it really a good topic for a fire science show?
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And then, when I was thinking a lot about those wind turbine fires, I think it's a brilliant place where you could really well explain the value of fire safety.
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You know, because you have a very isolated device, the wind turbine itself, To the best of my knowledge, they would not propagate between the turbines.
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Okay, there's damage to surroundings and we'll probably touch that, but it's not that you have one turbine on fire and the rest of the park will get.
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And you know how much they cost to build.
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You know how much they produce per year.
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You know how much you would like to use them.
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So loss is like the most you know sharp you could have in fire safety, because you can tell up to like perhaps $10,000, exactly how much this fire has cost, and you can also, perhaps in dollar, tell how much it will cost to provide some.
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You know equipment that will reduce it.
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You know so and don't forget, that it's impossible to miss them.
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We were studying, we found more than 300 wind turbine fires like each of them with a date, a location and a photo and knowledge of it 300.
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And we use social media because of media, because there is no other way.
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So imagine how difficult it is to hide these fires from happening than even social media reports on them, instead of being the authorities or the owners, or the neighbors.
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Yeah, I mean it's kind of fascinating.
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Let's go deeper into this.
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I'll tell you we learn a lot in this work.
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We produced the paper that you referred to in 2014, and then we have a follow-up paper in 2021 where we revisit the problem and we continue on this.
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This was an article, not a paper, an article in the Society of Fire Protection Engineering magazine, but I'll tell you what we found.
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What we found is I want to highlight this, I don't want to get too excited and get people wrong on this I love renewable this.
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I don't want to get too excited and get people wrong on this I love renewable energy.
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I support wind turbine industry, but when we learned about wind turbine fires, we realized this was actually the dream of an arsonist.
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You take flammable materials different ones, some solid, some liquid, multiple of them and you put them in close proximity to multiple ignition sources mechanical and electrical and you put them very close to each other.
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You put them with plenty of oxygen and wind to make sure that things go you know when they go, they go well and you put them very far away from the firefighters, so everybody can see them, but the firefighters cannot reach them.
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That is, in a summary, a wind turbine.
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So the fuels, for example, are the large amount of polymers of plastics that are used in the nacelle.
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There is a lot of metal components, obviously, but there is a lot of composites, there is a lot of cables, there is a lot of insulation.
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So sorry to interrupt you.
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The nacelle is the part where the gearbox and generator is hosted and on top of that you have the blades.
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I hope that's the correct methodology.
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So if you could go once again like what's inside the nacelle and which parts of that are actually like flammable material, fire hazard potential.
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So the three main parts of a wind turbine are the tower, which is hollow and there's maybe cables going through it and a ladder to go up.
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Then the nacelle, which is the big part, which is bigger than I mean.
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It's a multi-story room, it's not a small room, it's a big room.
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It's called the nacelle, that doesn't have windows and it's just a big block where the engine and all the machinery is inside and then it has the blades which are attached to the nacelle, and inside the nacelle is where you have the gearbox, you have the mechanical elements, you have the electrical generator and then you have the cables and the controls, and the cables that go down to carry the electricity that has been generated in the nacelle Is the electricity converted already at the level of nacelle or it's a separate thing on the ground?
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Inside the nacelle.
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Inside the nacelle is where the energy is converted from mechanical in the shaft of the blades, is converted into electrical energy with a generator.
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I meant more like a transformer station where you would convert the voltages, but that's probably not the story.
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Yeah, no, that's true.
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It has a little bit of a transformer to control the quality of the signal at source, but that is something that typically is done at the farm level, not at the cell or turbine level, and which parts of it are combustible.
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Out of them.
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Absolutely, I mean literally no, a nacelle is.
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I mean to give you an idea.
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A nacelle would be almost like a flat, a two-story flat, london style.
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Um, it's completely full of stuff.
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It's very warm.
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The nacelle, when it's been operated for a very long time, as it's meant to be, becomes a very warm environment.
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There is heat that is being released inside by multiple reasons and it's very noisy and it's full of electrical parts and mechanical parts.
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So it's a dangerous place.
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It's not a place for anyone to be, fascinated for an engineer, unpleasant for other people, and there is a very large amount of polymers, plastics, inside a nacelle.
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The shell of a nacelle typically could be, and it is now made of composites which has a level of flammability.
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There is a lot of cables, many hundreds of meters of cables, which the insulation of the cables is made of polymer plastic.
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The insulation of the cables is made of polymer of plastic and it has insulation for heat transfer and for sound of different components and different parts of the nacelle that's also flammable.
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And then it has oils oils for the friction of mechanical parts, oils for insulating the electrical parts for the transformer, etc.
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And a great majority of these oils not all of them are flammable as well.
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And what about the blades?
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Like, are blades flammable?
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I'm pretty sure yeah the blades are made of very light, composite, very light, very strong, very large composite components and they are flammable.
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It doesn't happen frequent that the blades themselves get on fire.
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What happens more frequently in a fire is that then a cell gets on fire, but the blades themselves can also burn, and there are images of blades burning and spinning at the same time, which is a weird image.
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So if you look at those fires in the wind turbines, it's not that it's a very tiny fire.
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It went down on its own.
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Usually they would propagate and if they did they would have consequences probably fatal to the entire building.
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I wondered, like how many fires grow to a size where they are actually like destroying the entire turbine?
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So what we saw in the data is when there is a fire in a wind turbine, it most of the time 90% of the times it leads to the complete loss of the nacelle.
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So there's no way you can repair.
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You had a fire, you lost the nacelle, that's it.
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And then two things can happen.
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One is that it burns out and you lost the nacelle and you have to put a new nacelle, or the owners have to put a new nacelle and that's it, and it's only an economic concern of that specific investment.
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People might have seen it, my team might have seen it, maybe my team didn't see it.
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The other thing that can happen is that the fire starts to burn and it starts to throw debris metallic and otherwise pieces of plastic that are burning.
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They fall on the ground.
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They ignite what is called a secondary fire.
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This is more concerning because a secondary fire could actually go much further away than the single nacelle and, in principle, the responsible person would be the owner of a nacelle.
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And this has happened.
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About 10% of the cases that we saw I highlight that we saw, because the industry doesn't see the data 10% of the cases that we saw led to secondary fires.
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Some of them were burning the grass around the farm.
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Some of them were burning the factory where the nacelle was.
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Some of them were burning nearby infrastructure.
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So secondary fires is a concern because it is difficult to deny where the ignition source was.
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Is it like an effect of parts of the blades flying away at large distances, thrown away by the rotation, or more like a firebrand stuff caught by the wind?
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My imagination is going quite crazy about throwing big chunks.
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That would be a huge firebrand they already fall far without the need of the centipugal acceleration of the blades turning.
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The blades burning it happens very rarely.
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I would say blades maybe is actually about 5% of the fires in a turbine, but the production of firebrands is always every single turbine.
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Fire produces firebrands.
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There are pieces of different things that are burning and they start to go.
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You know a high altitude with wind, so they can actually fire hundreds of meters away.
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And this is despite that.
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Every wind turbine farm protects the immediate vicinity.
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They're aware of, for different reasons, that they should clear the grass and they should not have flammable things next to the tower and even doing this, 10% of the fires lead to secondary ignitions.
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In your SFP Europe paper I read the mention about a fire that happened in Riverside California.
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A fire that happened in Riverside California, so perhaps you can bring it up to the listeners to show how this can spiral up a little bit.
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Yeah, so this is just one of them.
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If we saw 10% of them, we saw literally about 20 or more, or we studied fires that led to secondary ignitions.
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But this happened in California, I think it was in Riverside.
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I have not immediately surrounding the tower, the turbine, because that grass had been removed, rightly so.
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It went to the farther away.
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So it means that the firebrands were reaching unexpected places for the owners.
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The owners were caught by surprise and it led to the burning of a nearby forest.
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It led to almost four kilometers square of forest burning, which is, I mean, it's a small wildfire.
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For wildfire scientists we're talking about much bigger wildfires, but taking into account that it was undeniably who was the ignition source, this, in the US, is very important because the ignition source in the US pays all the consequences of what happened.
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So the owner of this wind turbine had to pay for this, for the expenses of the cost of the damage that he had produced and if he had gone wrong, imagine that this was not a small wildfire.
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Imagine that this happened on a windy day, not too windy that you have to turn it off the wind turbine on a decently windy day in the summer.
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California, beautiful place I've lived there where the vegetation is dry, so maybe there's a heat wave, and then, instead of a few kilometers square, we start to talk about dozens of communities having to evacuate, and then people start to pay more attention.
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Unfortunately, when these bad things happen, then people start to pay more attention.
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Unfortunately, when these bad things happen, then people start to pay more attention.
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Okay, another thing that we have not touched yet is the ignition.
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In many fire considerations, media would usually focus on what was the cause of an ignition.
00:20:28.804 --> 00:20:39.367
For us, it's just one part of the switch that we try to solve, but do we know the typical causes of ignition in such devices?
00:20:40.095 --> 00:20:42.324
Yeah, there are many different reasons for ignition.
00:20:42.324 --> 00:20:47.046
When we look into the data, the leading cause of ignition is lightening strike.
00:20:47.046 --> 00:20:54.528
Okay, which is funny and not funny because all wind turbines are already protected against lightening strike.
00:20:54.528 --> 00:21:00.442
So, if they're already, because you don't want an electrical signal, artificial signal, going into the turbine.
00:21:00.442 --> 00:21:09.025
So if you protect them against lightning strike, and still this is the leading source of ignition, it means right power engineers are needed for sure.
00:21:10.395 --> 00:21:13.685
The other reasons were mechanical hotspots.
00:21:13.685 --> 00:21:20.082
So the maintenance of a cell for whatever the reason, is not as good as it should be, or maybe there are mechanical defects.
00:21:20.082 --> 00:21:27.241
Then mechanical parts that are in contact with each other, maybe in the gearboxes or maybe in the shaft, they start to heat up.
00:21:27.241 --> 00:21:34.119
We use hotspots because we are surrounded by seals, liquid and solid, and the hotspots become an ignition source.
00:21:34.119 --> 00:21:42.501
And the third reason is electrical arch, which is when some of the electrical elements they are not isolated from each other.
00:21:42.501 --> 00:21:51.705
It creates an arc and then the arc is a beautiful, unfortunately ignition source for flammable elements that might find in the vicinity of it.
00:21:52.355 --> 00:21:55.122
But from the statistic majority of lightnings right.
00:21:55.923 --> 00:22:00.055
The leading cause when we look from the statistic majority of lightnings right the leading cause when we look into the data, was lightning strike.
00:22:00.055 --> 00:22:09.863
It really caught our attention because every single wind turbine since they were invented obviously are protected against lightning strike because they are like begging for a strike, the leading cause of fires.
00:22:09.863 --> 00:22:16.784
Even if you were to design them better so that lightning strike doesn't become an ignition source, we still to design them better so that lightening structures can become an ignition source.
00:22:16.784 --> 00:22:20.535
We still have to deal with two other very different ignition sources the mechanical and the electrical.
00:22:20.535 --> 00:22:29.882
So this is a fantastic problem for a fire scientist because you have multiple fire problems, not just one, and then you bring something and it's solved.
00:22:29.882 --> 00:22:38.674
It has multiple things that is needed that the designers and the owners need to understand multiple things that is needed, that the designers and the owners need to understand.
00:22:40.974 --> 00:22:44.345
One thing that makes me curious do those challenges scale up with the size of the turbines?
00:22:44.345 --> 00:22:47.755
Because we also know that the turbines are growing, and especially the turbines installed overseas.
00:22:47.755 --> 00:22:56.604
So there's a big wind farm project in Poland and those are some massive, massive turbines, not like anything I've seen on the ground.
00:22:56.604 --> 00:23:01.305
So I wonder, is there a difference based on the size or just like?
00:23:02.255 --> 00:23:05.662
Well, if nothing else, I mean the thing is, every wind turbine is evolving.
00:23:05.662 --> 00:23:12.321
The technology is evolving in size, but it's also evolving in type of technology and material, so it's very difficult to compare.
00:23:12.321 --> 00:23:15.720
Then, as you make the wind turbine bigger, you're bringing more fuels.
00:23:15.720 --> 00:23:18.653
It's interesting that the you're bringing more fuels.
00:23:18.974 --> 00:23:22.015
It's interesting that the industry is not bringing less fuels, it's bringing more fuel in the sense I mean something that is flammable fuel.
00:23:22.015 --> 00:23:31.564
As for a fire engineer, and as you increase the power, you increase the strength of an arc, you increase the strength of a mechanical failure.
00:23:31.564 --> 00:23:40.682
So as you make it bigger, you bring the hazards developed in size to be bigger and the loss is bigger.
00:23:40.682 --> 00:23:48.221
It's not the same losing a cute small 1 megawatt turbine than losing one of these monsters, which they have now, of 10 megawatts.
00:23:48.221 --> 00:23:57.339
The economic loss and the amount of debris they will produce as firebrands it is much bigger as the wind turbines grows.
00:23:57.904 --> 00:24:02.319
Hopefully, the ones installed at the sea will not cause a secondary fire.
00:24:02.319 --> 00:24:06.481
It would be interesting, though, if it hit a ship nearby.
00:24:06.481 --> 00:24:08.521
That would be very bad luck.
00:24:08.521 --> 00:24:10.721
I can imagine such a scenario, though.
00:24:11.194 --> 00:24:13.517
No, but you know what is the problem with the ones at sea.
00:24:13.517 --> 00:24:20.156
It's actually fascinating, but all this is not that you can go into a textbook or there's a little manual, all these.